# Exercise 4

Exercise 4: High uncertainty in trend when process error estimate is high.

Type 'Lab2' at matlab prompt.

When asked for data code, type 7 (Wolves).

Questions for Exercise 4

1. Why is the trend estimate (the mu parameter) so uncertain? Try running SimCDA with high process error and different mu's. What happens to the variability among the 9 realizations when process error is high?

Type 'Lab2' at matlab prompt.

When asked for data code, type 7 (Wolves).

Questions for Exercise 4

1. Why is the trend estimate (the mu parameter) so uncertain? Try running SimCDA with high process error and different mu's. What happens to the variability among the 9 realizations when process error is high?

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