State-space modeling workshop


No children

State-space modeling workshop



Version 0.4
iugo-cafe home

Exercise 2

Exercise 2: Uncertainty of probability of decline estimates.

Choose a % decline: 20, 50 or 80

Type 'Lab3' at the prompt. Pick a dataset. Make plots for each of 3 time horizons: 10, 25, 50 years

Copy into a Word document.

Do this for a few other datasets.

Summarize what you see in terms of how precisely the probability of decline is estimated and whether uncertainty at one time horizon translates into uncertainty at other time horizons.

Created on May 7, 2007 at 03:35:50 PM by eli

No comments